A core economic indicator I have continually improving since November 2016 has been confidence. Animal spirits blowing strong. See —> A...
What Do Firms Think About The New Tax Law?
Gold prices experienced some volatility in recent weeks, with upward pressures sending them higher by mid-February, followed by a p...
Precious Metals: Outlook March 2018
Atlanta has a diverse housing realm. From dense and affluent to barren wastelands and crime ridden areas, Atlanta is a big...
Atlanta Housing Overview March 2018
Atlanta has a diverse housing realm. From dense and affluent to barren wastelands and crime ridden areas, Atlanta is a big city and has the parts to prove it. Population and industry drive a city. As you can see from the table below, Atlanta has a massive population. The Metropolitan Statistical Area is 5.7M and the Combined Statistical Area is 6.3M. The CSA covers 39 counties which is quite immense and plenty of room for growth, in theory. In fact if you include numbers from the CSA in housing stats you wind up with a very low average sale price and even lower average rental price. On the flip side of it if you look at segmented real estate markets inside Atlanta, from Morningside to outside the perimeter in Sandy Springs, these ultra desirable locations - which have at times bad public schools, going against the grain in the Southeast of price / school district coorelation - prices are way above average. Not kidding, in some parts rents are as high as Manhattan averages, and this is not due to the product being ultra high end or even luxury. New homes are popping up everywhere in desirable locations and rents are setting in at above average rates for luxury and higher end rentals.
REMAX REPORT: Metro Atlanta home prices are up 9.8 percent from a year ago, while the supply of homes for sale has continued to shrink, according to a report from Re/Max. The median sales price of a home sold in the region during February was $225,000, up from a median of $204,900 during the same month of last year, according to the real estate firm. In comparison, the national median sales price was $228,700 – an 8.1 percent increase over the year. - AJC / ReMax
Population (2015 Estimates)[1] | |
---|---|
• Density | 630/sq mi (243/km2) |
• Urban | 4,515,419 (9th) |
• MSA | 5,710,795 (9th) |
• CSA | 6,365,108 (11th) |
Sources: Trulia, LTCI, Zillow ZHVI,
Above shows the change in mortgage underwriting - from banks to non-banks. Great read below, it includes the statement: Before the financia...
At A Glance: U.S. Mortgage Industry Analysis
Above shows the change in mortgage underwriting - from banks to non-banks. Great read below, it includes the statement: Before the financial crisis, mortgages were the last thing a consumer would default on, Noring says. That flipped in 2009, when people started defaulting on their mortgages first,” he says. “That was a tsunami for everyone in the mortgage business, and we’re still seeing the fallout. Lenders were not prepared to deal with it and didn’t do a great job, plus new rules were coming out that they needed to follow.
I am an analyst by trade so I cannot help but think of market share and the changing landscape of various industries and industry segments. The mortgage industry has long been safe due to the various state laws and their difference in nature. The internet clearly shrinks that.
From American Banker The nonbank mortgage banks in question originate approximately 50% of all mortgage loans – representing a $1 trillion market this year alone. - Do brokers generate $50B in US mortgages? I am unaware of secondary market numbers so it is hard to assess. We will have more on the industry published later this month and next.
Pertinent to cover Russia since Putin has recently won. I noticed a credible source recently guesstimated Putin would be in power until 203...
Russian Economics: An Overview
2016
|
2017
|
|||||||
I quarter
|
II quarter
|
I half
|
III quarter
|
9 months
|
IV quarter
|
Year
|
I quarter
|
|
at
current prices; billion roubles
|
||||||||
Gross Domestic Product at market prices
|
18815.9
|
20429.6
|
39245.5
|
22721.2
|
61966.8
|
24076.9
|
86043.6
|
20090.9
|
of which:
|
||||||||
final
consumption expenditures
|
14245.2
|
14497.0
|
28742.2
|
15203.7
|
43945.9
|
15876.8
|
59822.7
|
15064.1
|
households
|
10357.8
|
10553.8
|
20911.6
|
11218.7
|
32130.3
|
11811.1
|
43941.4
|
10976.7
|
public administration
|
3806.0
|
3860.7
|
7666.7
|
3901.6
|
11568.3
|
3981.1
|
15549.4
|
3995.6
|
non-profit
institutions serving households
|
81.4
|
82.5
|
163.9
|
83.4
|
247.3
|
84.6
|
331.9
|
91.8
|
gross capital
formation
|
2981.8
|
4422.6
|
7404.4
|
6440.8
|
13845.2
|
6286.9
|
20132.1
|
3033.5
|
gross fixed capital formation *
|
2907.9
|
3912.4
|
6820.3
|
4392.7
|
11213.0
|
6899.4
|
18112.4
|
3022.1
|
changes in
inventories
|
73.9
|
510.2
|
584.1
|
2048.1
|
2632.2
|
-612.5
|
2019.7
|
11.4
|
net exports of
goods and services
|
1326.3
|
1064.1
|
2390.4
|
712.4
|
3102.8
|
1335.7
|
4438.5
|
1720.0
|
statistical descrepancy
|
262.6
|
445.9
|
708.5
|
364.3
|
1072.9
|
577.5
|
1650.3
|
273.3
|
volume
indices; at constant prices,
percent of corresponding period of previous year |
||||||||
Gross Domestic
Product
|
99.6
|
99.5
|
99.5
|
99.6
|
99.6
|
100.3
|
99.8
|
100.5
|
final
consumption expenditures
|
96.7
|
95.5
|
96.1
|
96.3
|
96.2
|
97.5
|
96.5
|
102.1
|
households
|
95.7
|
94.1
|
94.9
|
95.2
|
95.0
|
96.8
|
95.5
|
102.7
|
public administration
|
99.6
|
99.5
|
99.5
|
99.5
|
99.5
|
99.5
|
99.5
|
100.4
|
non-profit
institutions serving households
|
100.8
|
100.7
|
100.8
|
100.7
|
100.7
|
100.8
|
100.7
|
100.0
|
gross capital
formation *
|
102.5
|
101.6
|
102.0
|
99.9
|
101.0
|
102.7
|
101.5
|
100.1
|
exports
|
99.7
|
104.9
|
102.3
|
104.2
|
102.9
|
103.7
|
103.1
|
107.1
|
imports
|
92.2
|
95.4
|
93.8
|
96.3
|
94.8
|
100.4
|
96.2
|
116.5
|
In January, consumer prices rose 0.3% from the previous month, a notch below the 0.4% month-on-month rise observed in December. According to the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), the result largely reflected a smaller rise in prices for foodstuffs. Inflation remained edged down to a new historic low of 2.2% in January, below December’s 2.5%. Price pressures have fallen notably in 2017, in part due to a solid performance by the ruble. Inflation lies far below the Central Bank’s target of 4.0%. Annual average inflation also declined from 3.7% in December to 3.5% in January, another historical low. Panelists see inflation ending 2018 at 4.0%, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. For 2019, participants expect inflation to end the year at also 4.0%.
Consumer Price Index
(end of period)
2016
|
2017
|
||||
II
quarter
|
III quarter
|
IV
quarter
|
I
quarter
|
II
quarter
|
|
percent of December of previous year
|
|||||
Consumer price index for products and services
|
103.3
|
104.1
|
105.4
|
101.0
|
102.3
|
food products (including alcoholic beverages)
|
103.2
|
102.4
|
104.6
|
101.2
|
103.4
|
non-food products
|
103.8
|
105.2
|
106.5
|
100.9
|
101.3
|
services
|
102.7
|
104.8
|
104.9
|
100.8
|
102.0
|
Sources: FocusEconomics and Federal State Statistics Service (Russia).